Deja vu ???

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  #1  
Old 30th January 2007, 01:45 PM
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Default Deja vu ???



What I cant digest is the deja vu which is happening between the similarities of the April / beginning may & present events & that is it a trap for bears or repeatation of the events ???
i have always consider Satyam & ACC as operator bell weathers...

1) now in april out of the blue sayam collasped twice before the actual market did - so it did now

2) Govt did some handiwork in april end to make the cement collapse drastically - last time they banned exports, this time reduced import duty

3) FII were buying in cash but continously selling in futures

4) the expectation of a confirmed 13K on cards.

5) Big jump in o/i.

6) international market - stock & commodities are reversing slowly, especially commodities...

7) sensex is dancing to the tune of few heavyweights & mid / small caps have reached all times high after the MAy fall...

8) & of course the divergences in the weekly charts show a major fall soon, imho

9) Its time to short & hold & ignore the noises, instead of buy & hold...like the media noises recommend.

10) journey from bottom to may top had hardly any gaps & then from june till now the sensex has got loads of gaps... a concern for me....

11) Retail bulls mindset is changing again to greed from fear & the scare is disappearing ... the same friends who used to exit fast now say oh let it fall I'll pick up some more

Many more I'll add after recollecting... oh the main one, MY WIFE RECOMMENDED A STOCK...

Wanted: AmitBE's Nifty Fity & Vvonteru most wanted "I can help you", Traderji & Saintji - Where art thou ???.... reward on their return please


Last edited by Czar : 30th January 2007 at 02:11 PM.
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  #2  
Old 30th January 2007, 01:56 PM
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amitt29 is on a distinguished road
Default Re: Deja vu ???

Quote:
Originally Posted by Czar View Post
What I cant digest is the deja vu which is happening between the similarities of the April / beginning may & present events & that is it a trap for bears or repeatation of the events ???
i have always consider Satyam & ACC as operator bell weathers...

1) now in april out of the blue sayam collasped twice before the actual market did - so it did now

2) Govt did some handiwork in april end to make the cement collapse drastically - last time they banned exports, this time reduced import duty

3) FII were buying in cash but continously selling in futures

4) the expectation of a confirmed 13K on cards.

5) Big jump in o/i.

6) international market - stock & commodities are reversing slowly, especially commodities...

7) sensex is dancing to the tune of few heavyweights & mid / small caps have reached all times high after the MAy fall...

8) & of course the divergences in the weekly charts show a major fall soon, imho

9) Its time to short & hold & ignore the noises, instead of buy & hold...like the media noises recommend.

Many more I'll add after recollecting... oh the main one, MY WIFE RECOMMENDED A STOCK...
Last one is the clincher.

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  #3  
Old 30th January 2007, 02:04 PM
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Default Re: Deja vu ???

lol, yup, never fails mate.

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  #4  
Old 30th January 2007, 02:27 PM
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Default Re: Deja vu ???

Quote:
Originally Posted by Czar View Post
What I cant digest is the deja vu which is happening between the similarities of the April / beginning may & present events & that is it a trap for bears or repeatation of the events ???
i have always consider Satyam & ACC as operator bell weathers...

1) now in april out of the blue sayam collasped twice before the actual market did - so it did now

2) Govt did some handiwork in april end to make the cement collapse drastically - last time they banned exports, this time reduced import duty

3) FII were buying in cash but continously selling in futures

4) the expectation of a confirmed 13K on cards.

5) Big jump in o/i.

6) international market - stock & commodities are reversing slowly, especially commodities...

7) sensex is dancing to the tune of few heavyweights & mid / small caps have reached all times high after the MAy fall...

8) & of course the divergences in the weekly charts show a major fall soon, imho

9) Its time to short & hold & ignore the noises, instead of buy & hold...like the media noises recommend.

10) journey from bottom to may top had hardly any gaps & then from june till now the sensex has got loads of gaps... a concern for me....

11) Retail bulls mindset is changing again to greed from fear & the scare is disappearing ... the same friends who used to exit fast now say oh let it fall I'll pick up some more

Many more I'll add after recollecting... oh the main one, MY WIFE RECOMMENDED A STOCK...

Wanted: AmitBE's Nifty Fity & Vvonteru most wanted "I can help you", Traderji & Saintji - Where art thou ???.... reward on their return please


U forget my friend that India Shining had been busted then , but India is Poised now

SO dont lose sight of the big picture

AGILENT

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  #5  
Old 30th January 2007, 02:53 PM
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Default Re: Deja vu ???

you may be right, my dear sir, but IMHO, India is shining & will keep shining, but the markets have over shone... bigger picture will remain at 10K or even 8k, does it matter ??? its a matter of time the firangs decide to have enough (i'am not saying lock stock & barrel, but those fickel FII's we know) & decide to take advantage of the rupee appreciation & combined market rise since june (remember they bought at a 46 $), since RBI will cap further appreciation for the time being ... that's another story though, its all about taking the right money, honey


Last edited by Czar : 30th January 2007 at 03:40 PM.
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  #6  
Old 30th January 2007, 03:16 PM
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Default Re: Deja vu ???

yes a lot of similarities. but the question is when????

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  #7  
Old 30th January 2007, 03:35 PM
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Default Re: Deja vu ???

Quote:
Originally Posted by Agilent View Post
U forget my friend that India Shining had been busted then , but India is Poised now

SO dont lose sight of the big picture

AGILENT
True, Agilent India may be poised to fly, but are our markets ?

and if so are they poised to fly or take a flying leap into a bottomless gorge.

Sigh , I guess only time will tell.

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  #8  
Old 30th January 2007, 09:01 PM
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Default Re: Deja vu ???

Male Chouvenism Czar!When everone is an analyst now,why not she.Dont create a civil war & you are sure to lose it.
Happy trading,
ranga

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  #9  
Old 30th January 2007, 11:33 PM
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Default Re: Deja vu ???

Lol, no sir, I was referring to one of my old posts...

cannot encourage a mutiny...

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  #10  
Old 9th February 2007, 06:15 PM
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Default Re: Deja vu ???

A lot of distribution seems to be on in this last week, Media keeps advicing to keep an eye on FII figure for market cue & that they seems to have resumed big buying, what they fail to mention is lot of big time off market transactions going on... are the fii's rigging the FII figures buy passing the parcel with ops ?

ACC & Satyam ( ops favourites ) have already reached dec lows, where as the market is leaped from there... sensex seems to be in a hurry to convince the mob that 15K is around the corner...

friends, check your shock abs, Deja Vu seems around the corner...

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