Arbitrage on nifty futures

Discuss Arbitrage on nifty futures at the Derivatives within the Traderji.com - Discussion forum for Stocks Commodities & Forex; Hi Frnds, im still not a derivatives trader. But i was just curious abt Arbitrage ...


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  #1  
Old 24th August 2006, 12:36 AM
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Default Arbitrage on nifty futures



Hi Frnds, im still not a derivatives trader. But i was just curious abt Arbitrage positions on Nifty Futures of two different Expiry Dates. Say as of today

NIFTY 31-Aug-2006 3,337.00
NIFTY 28-Sep-2006 3,326.00
NIFTY 26-Oct-2006 3,305.00

Right. So i Buy September Futures and Sell OCt Futures. By the time September Futures will reach Expiry the September and Oct will be quite close to to each other. IS this Feasible? Seniors pls help.


Thnsk

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  #2  
Old 24th August 2006, 09:19 AM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

Nope. You will sell the Sep futures and buy the Oct futures, since the Sep futures are overpriced as compared to the Oct futures. Adjust for any potential dividends however (even though the probability is very low).

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Old 24th August 2006, 09:39 AM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

Quote:
Originally Posted by ivanboesky View Post
Nope. You will sell the Sep futures and buy the Oct futures, since the Sep futures are overpriced as compared to the Oct futures. Adjust for any potential dividends however (even though the probability is very low).

YA i agree. ITs buy the low sell the high. But my frnd can u pls explain what is adjustment potential dividends? As i asked before is this feasable?

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  #4  
Old 24th August 2006, 11:18 AM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

It is feasible to do the arbitrage with a view of the two converging, or better still the October futures going at a premium to the Sep futures.
There are quite a few stocks going ex-dividend in Sep. Not sure about October. Check the amount of dividends of the Nifty stocks and adjust the Nifty value accordingly.
Anyway, your strategy is safe. Not too many things can go wrong. But if the Sep-Oct futures dont converge before the Sep futures expire, you may have to carry your positions forward.

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  #5  
Old 24th August 2006, 11:25 AM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

Quote:
Originally Posted by ivanboesky View Post
It is feasible to do the arbitrage with a view of the two converging, or better still the October futures going at a premium to the Sep futures.
There are quite a few stocks going ex-dividend in Sep. Not sure about October. Check the amount of dividends of the Nifty stocks and adjust the Nifty value accordingly.
Anyway, your strategy is safe. Not too many things can go wrong. But if the Sep-Oct futures dont converge before the Sep futures expire, you may have to carry your positions forward.
Thanks ivanboesky for that instant reply. One more Question if u dont mind. i think ur an Experienced Guy. In ur experience has this happened before expiry whp futures havent converged??? Not much idea. Right now im watching the Nifty Sep and August intraday chart it has touched twice or thrice. Is it correct.

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  #6  
Old 24th August 2006, 12:27 PM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

Yes, once the market direction reverses, those on the wrong side start to cover their positions, and the futures converge.

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  #7  
Old 24th August 2006, 12:52 PM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

THanks Ivan

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  #8  
Old 1st September 2006, 04:41 AM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

Why not start a daily topic on arbitrage.
let each ome of us spend some time and post our findings where good arbitarge opportunities are there.

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  #9  
Old 1st September 2006, 10:40 AM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

Quote:
Originally Posted by hsarora47 View Post
Why not start a daily topic on arbitrage.
let each ome of us spend some time and post our findings where good arbitarge opportunities are there.
a good idea. Watch out for century textile Sep and OCt futures.
Good difference. Im still a novice. Pls guide.

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  #10  
Old 2nd September 2006, 01:45 PM
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Default Re: Arbitrage on nifty futures

Pls check the sheet enclosed. Does this make any sense? Pls hlp

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File Type: rar Arbitrage sheet.rar (14.5 KB, 84 views)
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