Path to Consistency

travi

Well-Known Member
IV has shot up with todays mkt moves.
For BN 20-APR Expiry, good value to sell the 21500PE and 22200CE.
This is a short strangle, since IV is around 20%, 16%
there are no long legs to hedge Vega.
 

fnoQ

Active Member
IV has shot up with todays mkt moves.
For BN 20-APR Expiry, good value to sell the 21500PE and 22200CE.
This is a short strangle, since IV is around 20%, 16%
there are no long legs to hedge Vega.
bhai ,strangle is slight OTM call put only na ? say this far strikes ?
 

travi

Well-Known Member
bhai ,strangle is slight OTM call put only na ? say this far strikes ?
Slight is a very relative term, BN is pretty volatile so 300 pts either side falls in slight :)

Anyway, being so far gives you a very high winning probability.
That's 31pts per pair-lot, working out strategy for ROCE vs Risk %
Around 1% return for 3 days position.

EDIT: The % return is a big range, bcos of margin required for positions, this one is on the higher side.
You could even get 1.7%.
 
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fnoQ

Active Member
Ravi bro , we are getting pe premium if bnf rise , but total premium
received would be 31 pts very low and would be in risk if touches 22200 from here ? as bnf 1-2 % rise in single day possible ? hedging is safe ? or considering TA wouldnt cross ?
 
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travi

Well-Known Member
Ravi bro , we are getting pe premium if bnf rise , but total premium
received would be 31 pts very low and would be in risk if touches 22200 from here ? as bnf 1-2 % rise in single day possible ? hedging is safe ? or considering TA wouldnt cross ?
Expiry is in two days. Max pain concept is applied to this.
Low premium credit also means low risk.
Most failed trades occur ATM.
 

travi

Well-Known Member
IV has shot up with todays mkt moves.
For BN 20-APR Expiry, good value to sell the 21500PE and 22200CE.
This is a short strangle, since IV is around 20%, 16%
there are no long legs to hedge Vega.
The expanded IV have now imploded and combined price is around 25pts.
so my terminal has a 6pt gain already :)
 

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