Capitalization of failed breakouts

ajit123

Active Member
#1
dear friends.
i have been using this technique for a few months. this has given me good
income so far. for the benefit of my fellow traders i am giving it here.
this method clicked my mind accidentally.i was going through a method of
trading breakouts.there i read that almost 60% of the breakouts fail.
i started to check how to use the failure of breakouts.and then i found this beautiful technique.
the technique--
go on looking into the 10 min candle charts of nifty or any frontline high vol stocks.look for the recent high and recent lows of two or more candles .
on charts a resistance and support point are obvious.they are the recent high and low respectively.now look whether the breakout of the recent high is able to sustain 5points above in the case of nifty and similarly set a point in stocks.if yes then its a breakout if no then its a failure.if the close of this breakout candle is below the break out line then you can short the scrip or nifty with a stop 3 point above the breakout high.here the trade should be reversed as well.
i do the vice-versa in case of shorts, and call it a failure of breakdown.
i am easily getting 20 points in my such trade everyday.and i am able to do this atleast 5 times in a day with nifty and my selected few stocks.
thanks.
 

pleaseharsh

Well-Known Member
#2
can u pls show the above case with few charts if possible.....just few instances i mean to get more clear picturial view of yr analysis...
thank you
harsh
 

beethoven

Well-Known Member
#3
dear friends.
i have been using this technique for a few months. this has given me good
income so far. for the benefit of my fellow traders i am giving it here.
this method clicked my mind accidentally.i was going through a method of
trading breakouts.there i read that almost 60% of the breakouts fail.
i started to check how to use the failure of breakouts.and then i found this beautiful technique.
the technique--
go on looking into the 10 min candle charts of nifty or any frontline high vol stocks.look for the recent high and recent lows of two or more candles .
on charts a resistance and support point are obvious.they are the recent high and low respectively.now look whether the breakout of the recent high is able to sustain 5points above in the case of nifty and similarly set a point in stocks.if yes then its a breakout if no then its a failure.if the close of this breakout candle is below the break out line then you can short the scrip or nifty with a stop 3 point above the breakout high.here the trade should be reversed as well.
i do the vice-versa in case of shorts, and call it a failure of breakdown.
i am easily getting 20 points in my such trade everyday.and i am able to do this atleast 5 times in a day with nifty and my selected few stocks.
thanks.
Ajit123

This is very interesting and I agree with your observations. But have not been able to evolve a trading plan on this yet.

Kindly do post a few charts on this method with your trades marked.

Thankyou

Bee
 

ajit123

Active Member
#4
i will be posting my trades and will ask you to have a look at the charts ,
also i will try to post the trades live if possible .
thanks
 
#5
dear friends.
i have been using this technique for a few months. this has given me good
income so far. for the benefit of my fellow traders i am giving it here.
this method clicked my mind accidentally.i was going through a method of
trading breakouts.there i read that almost 60% of the breakouts fail.
i started to check how to use the failure of breakouts.and then i found this beautiful technique.
the technique--
go on looking into the 10 min candle charts of nifty or any frontline high vol stocks.look for the recent high and recent lows of two or more candles .
on charts a resistance and support point are obvious.they are the recent high and low respectively.now look whether the breakout of the recent high is able to sustain 5points above in the case of nifty and similarly set a point in stocks.if yes then its a breakout if no then its a failure.if the close of this breakout candle is below the break out line then you can short the scrip or nifty with a stop 3 point above the breakout high.here the trade should be reversed as well.
i do the vice-versa in case of shorts, and call it a failure of breakdown.
i am easily getting 20 points in my such trade everyday.and i am able to do this atleast 5 times in a day with nifty and my selected few stocks.
thanks.
I tend to keep a close eye on volumes, as there needs to be a big surge in volumes for a genuine breakout. If the volume does not confirm the breakout then I fade it.

Here is an interesting read:

http://www.tradingmarkets.com/.site/forex/how_to/articles/-75514.cfm
 

manojkch

Well-Known Member
#6
dear friends.
i have been using this technique for a few months. this has given me good
income so far. for the benefit of my fellow traders i am giving it here.
this method clicked my mind accidentally.i was going through a method of
trading breakouts.there i read that almost 60% of the breakouts fail.
i started to check how to use the failure of breakouts.and then i found this beautiful technique.
the technique--
go on looking into the 10 min candle charts of nifty or any frontline high vol stocks.look for the recent high and recent lows of two or more candles .
on charts a resistance and support point are obvious.they are the recent high and low respectively.now look whether the breakout of the recent high is able to sustain 5points above in the case of nifty and similarly set a point in stocks.if yes then its a breakout if no then its a failure.if the close of this breakout candle is below the break out line then you can short the scrip or nifty with a stop 3 point above the breakout high.here the trade should be reversed as well.
i do the vice-versa in case of shorts, and call it a failure of breakdown.
i am easily getting 20 points in my such trade everyday.and i am able to do this atleast 5 times in a day with nifty and my selected few stocks.
thanks.
Hi Ajit,
Thanks a lot for sharing the method. If you are getting 20 points every day, that's really good. We will be very happy if you can explain this with charts for easy undersatnding. Also I will request you to post the results, if you have back tested this method.

Looking forward for your charts and results.

Thanks and regards.
Manoj.
 

ajit123

Active Member
#8
hi,
as i have told earlier this method was an accidental discovery for me.
as i was going through the breakout theory , i noticed a line that said that most breakouts fail so one has to be careful in trading breakouts.
so i decided follow the reverse i.e. failure of the breakout as i thought that it would give a greater success ratio.
so i started paper trading it on nifty,then as i gained confidence i started doing it on frontline stocks too.
i didnt backtest it i just went on doing it.
so i will not be able to post the previous results but i will certainly be posting
the trades that i do.
i will apprecite if fellow friends and seniors too can give light on it.
thanks
 
#9
hi,
as i have told earlier this method was an accidental discovery for me.
as i was going through the breakout theory , i noticed a line that said that most breakouts fail so one has to be careful in trading breakouts.
so i decided follow the reverse i.e. failure of the breakout as i thought that it would give a greater success ratio.
so i started paper trading it on nifty,then as i gained confidence i started doing it on frontline stocks too.
i didnt backtest it i just went on doing it.
so i will not be able to post the previous results but i will certainly be posting
the trades that i do.
i will apprecite if fellow friends and seniors too can give light on it.
thanks
such type of simple trading ideas are evergreen.I know a person who keeps 'inventing" advanced trading systems and after 3/4 months discard them.he spends many hours doing elaborate backtesting on many years data before adopting advanced systems,which are profitable for few months,which keeps him on cloud nine.and one fine day he finds that his 'cash cow' is non- productive anymore.
A high profile trader,who sweared by his advanced trading systems till date had recently confessed that he has discarded all his systems of pre 2008 era in this forum.
 

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