Very Simple Method to Earn Money from Options without knowning anything about options

pannalal

Well-Known Member
#1
I shall give a very simple method to earn money from options and the best part is you need not know anything about options. It is as simple as buying 2 kg sugar and selling 2 kg sugar.

I shall put this method around 7 PM. Market closes at 4 PM. Data will be available by 6 to 6:30 PM. Then, some computation and posting time.:clap:
 

anup

Well-Known Member
#3
Re: Very Simple Method to Earn Money from Options without knowning anything about opt

I shall give a very simple method to earn money from options and the best part is you need not know anything about options. It is as simple as buying 2 kg sugar and selling 2 kg sugar.

I shall put this method around 7 PM. Market closes at 4 PM. Data will be available by 6 to 6:30 PM. Then, some computation and posting time.:clap:
Hmm.. Will wait to know your method.. :thumb::thumb:
 

Biswajit Das

Well-Known Member
#5
Re: Very Simple Method to Earn Money from Options without knowning anything about opt

I shall give a very simple method to earn money from options and the best part is you need not know anything about options. It is as simple as buying 2 kg sugar and selling 2 kg sugar.

I shall put this method around 7 PM. Market closes at 4 PM. Data will be available by 6 to 6:30 PM. Then, some computation and posting time.:clap:
blank fire !!!!!
 

pannalal

Well-Known Member
#6
Re: Very Simple Method to Earn Money from Options without knowning anything about opt

Let me start with my example of buying 2 kg sugar and selling 2 kg sugar. However, it is important to note that there are four types of sugar available:

(1) Brand A at Rs. 254.45

(2) Brand B at Rs. 218.10

(3) Brand C at Rs. 101.50

(4) Brand D at Rs. 80

We purchase 1 kg each of Brand A and Brand D (Highest Quality and Worst Quality), it cost us Rs. 334.45. Then, we sell 1 kg each of Brand B and Brand C (Sell both Medium Quality Brands) and get 319.60. The net result is we lose Rs. 14.85.

Now, the question is why should we do the transaction where we are losing Rs. 14.85. The simple answer is we are not buying and selling sugar, we are buying and selling options. Let us replace Sugar with Options:

(1) Brand A is Nifty Option 6100 CE 28 Nov 2013 (Read Strike Price of 6100 C means Call E means European style and 28 Nov 2013 means option expiring on 28 Nov 2013). We purchase 1 lot at 254.45 (This is the price as per NSE EOD of 30 Oct 2013).

(2) Brand B is Nifty Option 6150 CE 28 Nov 2013. We sell 1 lot at 218.10 (Price as per NSE EOD of 30 Oct 2013)

(3) Brand C is Nifty Option 6350 CE 28 Nov 2013. We sell 1 lot at 101.50 (Price as per NSE EOD of 30 Oct 2013)

(4) Brand D is Nifty Option 6400 CE 28 Nov 2013. We buy 1 lot at 80 (Price as per NSE EOD of 30 Oct 2013)

Though, tomorrow, when you execute this, the price may differ. For the purpose of computation, we presume that you are able to purchase and sell at the price given above.

From the above, it is clear that we have purchased 2 lots of options and sold 2 lots of options. All four options are call (not put).

In the process we have paid total amount of 14.85 * 50 = Rs. 742.50 as each point cost Rs. 50.

Now, we take different scenarios:

(1) If Nifty remains between 6150 and 6350, we earn net points 35.15 (compute 50-14.85). So, the net profit will be Rs. 1,757.50 after covering Rs. 742.50.

(2) The two break even points are 6,114.85 and 6,385.15 where we do not earn anything. No Profit, No Loss.

(3) If Nifty goes below 6,114.85, then we lose Rs. 742.50 as paid at the time of buying and selling.

(4) If Nifty goes above 6,385.15, then, also we lose Rs. 742.50.

In summary, the maximum loss is Rs. 742.50 + Broker's Commission + Transaction Tax. (Approx Rs. 1,000)

The maximum profit is Rs. 1,757.50 - Broker's Commission - Transaction Tax. (Approx Rs. 1,500).

If you execute 5 lots, then the maximum loss will be Rs. 5,000 whereas the maximum profit is Rs. 7,500.

The above strategy is called "Long Condor". There are may variations to this. There are strategies where earning potential is very high and lose is limited. The strategy given is balanced because sum of buying striking points and sum of selling striking points are equal (both are 12,500). The above strategy is also neutralized because the present Nifty (spot) is in the central value of all four striking points. The Nifty closed today (30th October 2013) at 6,251.70.

If we expect Nifty to go up, we can create balanced strategy in such a way, that lower striking point is 6,200 and upper striking point is 6,600.

Below, I give computation for different values of Nifty:

6,000 -254.45 218.10 101.50 -80.00 -14.85
6,050 -254.45 218.10 101.50 -80.00 -14.85
6,100 -254.45 218.10 101.50 -80.00 -14.85
6,150 -204.45 218.10 101.50 -80.00 35.15
6,200 -154.45 168.10 101.50 -80.00 35.15
6,250 -104.45 118.10 101.50 -80.00 35.15
6,300 -54.45 68.10 101.50 -80.00 35.15
6,350 -4.45 18.10 101.50 -80.00 35.15
6,400 45.55 -31.90 51.50 -80.00 -14.85
6,450 95.55 -81.90 1.50 -30.00 -14.85
6,500 145.55 -131.90 -48.50 20.00 -14.85

Below, I give values of Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega and Rho:

Delta -0.0046
Gamma -0.0001
Theta 0.2420
Vega -0.7072
Rho -0.0341

Though, in above strategy, you do not require to compute the above, these are very important, if you want to trade in options. I shall explain about Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega and Rho at a later stage.

Summary:
The maximum loss is Rs. 742.50 + Broker's Commission + Transaction Tax. (Approx Rs. 1,000 per lot)

The maximum profit is Rs. 1,757.50 - Broker's Commission - Transaction Tax. (Approx Rs. 1,500 per lot).

Note: If you take longer spread, the profit will get reduced but the probability of profit will become higher.

Disclaimer: I shall not be responsible in case of any loss. Neither I share profit nor loss.
 
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pannalal

Well-Known Member
#9
Re: Very Simple Method to Earn Money from Options without knowning anything about opt

dear,
the strategy is not a new but iron condor.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_condor

initiation of this strategy and managing is more important
First thing, it is not Iron Condor. It is long condor and it is mentioned in the text. The difficulty is not managing as there is hardly anything to manage once you take the position. At the end of expiry date (in the above example 28 Nov 2013), you either lose money or you earn money. Initiation is difficult because of the following reasons:

(1) There are few options traders in comparison of equity and future. You put your buy price (or sale price) for a particular expiry date and strike rate and nobody touch it for one hour. By that time, the equation get changed.

(2) Options have large number of options (put/call, different strike rates, different expiry periods) etc. That is why the name is options (Just kidding). It is option because you have option to buy or sell.

(3) Options price depends on Index. Index keep changing every second.

In spite of all these disadvantages, there are advantages. You can earn Rs. 10,000/= in one hour provided you are ready to lose Rs. 2,000/=. You will say, this is true for index or stock also. In option, you can do with higher probability provided you know Black–Scholes formula and see the gap between expected price and real price. Of course, there are other methods like Monte Carlo Simulation, Finite Difference, GARCH model, valuation model etc. But, according to me Black–Scholes is still the best.:)
 
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pannalal

Well-Known Member
#10
Re: Very Simple Method to Earn Money from Options without knowning anything about opt

It is quite tough to manage Option Pairs like these.

Title - Very Simple Method to Earn Money from Options without knowning anything about opt is quite misleading. :D
There is nothing to manage in the above strategy. You either lose or gain on expiry date. If you try to come out in between, it will not work. The overall theta value is 0.2420 (this is positive). So, once you initiate and try to come out of it in next 5-7 days, you are bound to lose except in few cases. The problem is taking position (initiation) because of less number of option traders and large number of options (call/put, number of strike rates, number of expiry dates).:)
 

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