Trading in the Zone Mark Douglas

hitesh

Active Member
#11
Chapter 10 The impacts of beliefs on Trading

Primary characteristics of a belief:

1) Beliefs resist force that try to alter their present form. - They can be altered but we need to understand them in order to alter them. Beliefs cant be destroyed but they can be deactivated or rendered inactive. Secret to changing our beliefs is to think of it as simply transferring energy from one concept to another in order to achieve our goals

2) All active beliefs demand expression We have active and inactive beliefs. Active beliefs are energised and have enough energy to act as a force on our perception of information and on our behaviour. An inactive belief hasnt got the energy to do this. Once something causes us to tap into our beliefs its seems as if we cant stop the flood of energy which is released.

Thinking outside of the boundaries of our beliefs is commonly referred to as creative thinking. When we purposely question a belief and desire an answer we open up our mind to receiving a creative thought.

The psychological dilemma that virtually every trader has to resolve is that you may be aware that the next trade is simply a trade in a series that has a probable outcome. Yet youre still afraid to put the trade on and as such are susceptible to the fear based errors. This is due to our potential to view and interpret market information as threatening. This negative state of mind when you trade means there is a conflict between what you believe is the probable outcome and any number of other beliefs in your mental environment that are arguing for something else.

When you think in probabilities you believe that every moment in the market is unique or every edge has a unique outcome. When this is your dominant belief, your state of mind will be free of fear, stress and anxiety when you trade. If you believe that something will happen but you dont need to know what it is, then how can the market information be threatening and painful?. You were simply right again.

Every moment in the market has elements of what we know (similarities) and elements that we dont or cant know because we havent experienced them yet.

Until we train our minds to expect a unique outcome, we will experience only what we know. The other information and possibilities will pass us by as unperceived, discounted, distorted or denied.

Once you truly believe that you dont need to know and you think in probabilities there will be no reason to block, discount, distort or deny anything about the markets potential to move in a particular direction.

3) Beliefs keep on working regardless of whether we are consciously aware of their existence in our mental environment. Much of what we have learned is stored at a sub conscious level.

Self-valuation and Trading Just because there are unlimited opportunities in the market to accumulate wealth doesnt mean you have an unlimited sense of self valuation. i.e. There can be a gap between how much money we desire for ourselves and perceive as available and how much we actually believe we are worth or deserve. You may have a negative self valuation and feel guilty about accumulating wealth through the markets.

These subconscious self sabotaging beliefs can manifest themselves in our trading in the form of lapses of concentration and the common trading errors E.g. some traders accumulate wealth to a certain ceiling and then lose it, they may blame bad luck but it happens time and time again. These traders have gone from a positive to a negative zone. This negative zone can be due to unresolved self valuation issues acting on his perception of information and behaviour.

You must be aware of these beliefs and take steps in your trading regimen to compensate them when they express themselves.
 
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hitesh

Active Member
#12
Chapter 11 - Thinking Like a Trader

Trading is a pattern recognition numbers game. We use market analysis to identify the patterns, define the risk and determine when to take profits.

Trading is hard because you have to operate in a state of not having to know. This means you have to manage your expectations and realign your mental environment so you believe without a doubt in the 5 truths.

A probabilistic trading mindset consists of 5 fundamental truths:

1) Anything can happen
2) You can make Money without knowing what is going to happen next
3) There is a random distribution of wins and losses that define an edge
4) An edge is just the greater probability of one thing happening over an other
5) Every moment in the market is unique


Three stages in the development of a trader:

1) The Mechanical stage this is where you:
- Build the self trust necessary to operate in an unlimited environment
- Learn to flawlessly execute a trading system
- Train your mind to think in probabilities (the 5 fundamental truths)
- Create a strong unshakeable belief in your consistency as a trader

2) The Subjective stage
Once you have completed the mechanical stage you advance to the subjective stage this is where you use everything you have learned about the nature of market movement to do what ever it is you want to do. There is a lot of freedom in this stage and as such a susceptibility to make a lot of trader based errors as the result of self valuation issues.

3) The Intuitive Stage This is the advanced form of trading. Problem is our rational mind tends to override our intuition.

The Mechanical Stage This builds the kind of trading skills (trust, confidence and thinking in probabilities) that will compel you to create consistent results.

Consistent results is a steadily rising equity curve with only minor draw downs that are a natural result of edges that didnt work.

This is a function of finding a pattern that gives you an edge and systematically eliminating your susceptibility to the fear, euphoric and self valuation trading based errors. Eliminating these errors requires psychological skills.

Need to create a belief that I am a consistently successful trader.

Creating this dominant belief requires adherence to several principles of consistent success, some of these will conflict with your existing beliefs. You need to transform yourself into a consistent winner. The key ingredients of this are a willingness to change, clarity of intent and strength of your desire. For this to work you must choose consistency over every other reason for trading.

Observe yourself Pay attention to what youre thinking, saying and doing. Learn to become an objective observer of yourself. First line of defence to trader errors is to catch your self thinking about it, last line of defence is catch yourself in the act.

Observing yourself objectively means you do it without judgement or harsh criticism as a consequence of what youve noticed about yourself. Acknowledge and learn from your mistakes dont beat yourself up over it.

Producing consistent results is a function of eliminating errors, in order to eliminate them you have to acknowledge them.

Some mistakes are hard to detect eg a distracting thought.

A winning attitude is a positive expectation of our efforts, with an acceptance that whatever results we do get are a perfect reflection of our level of development and what we need to learn to do better.

With this attitude you have no fear of making a mistake, its just a function of getting better.

To be a winner you have to deal positively with your mistakes. If you suffer emotional pain every time you make a mistake you are left with two choices:

1) Acquire a new set of positive beliefs of what it means to make a mistake and deactivate the negative beliefs

2) Trade purely from the mechanical (probability) stage

When you notice that youre not focused on your objective you need to redirect your thoughts, words or actions in a way that is consistent with what you are trying to accomplish. Keep redirecting as often as necessary, requires self discipline.

The Role of Self Discipline Mental technique to consistently redirect our focus of attention to the object of our goal or desire.

Self discipline is a mental framework that you can develop, its a personality trait.

Sole purpose of being a mechanical trader is to be a consistent successful trader

If there is anything in your mental framework that conflicts with the principles of creating the belief that I am a consistent trader then you will require self discipline to get you back on track.

To create the belief that I am a consistently successful trader you need to:

a) Create a series of experiences consistent with that belief (Through the Mechanical Trading Process) Each time you redirect yourself to that belief it will add energy to it.

b) Eventually it will become part of your identity and the same level of self discipline wont be required because it is who you are

c) Two contradictory beliefs can exist, trick is to draw energy away from the negative belief and channel it to the positive belief of I am a consistently successful trader

The following are the building blocks that provide the underlying structure for what it means to be a consistent winner.

I am a consistent winner because: (The 7 principles of consistency)

1) I objectively identify my edges
2) I predefine the risk of every trade
3) I completely accept the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade
4) I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation
5) I pay myself as the market makes money available to me
6) I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors
7) I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and therefore never violate them.


You need to specifically train your mind to be objective and stay in the now moment. You dont know what is going to happen next. Watch the pain avoidance mechanisms that lead to trader errors.

As your self trust increases so does your self confidence and it will be easier to execute trades. You will accept the risks and be at peace with the outcome.

To become consistently successful you need to make up your mind with as much conviction and clarity as possible that more than anything you desire that consistency. Other motivations such as impressing friends or an addiction to random rewards have to stand aside.
 
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hitesh

Active Member
#13
Trading Exercise - Learning to trade, Conclusion

Objective is to convince yourself that trading is a simple game of probabilities.

At the Micro level the outcomes are independent at the macro level the outcome will provide consistent predictable results.

Setting up the exercise:

1) Pick the Market e.g. FOREX
2) Choose a set of variables that define an edge
3) The system you choose has to fit the following specifications:

- Trade Entry and Stop Loss exit No random factors exist, the set of circumstances is precise
- Variables Ensure that as many variables as possible have set rules.
- Taking Profits Establish rules around this.
- Sample Size 20 Trades or more.
- Testing Forward or back test your edge to determine its probability of occurrence percentage
- Accepting the risk Know in advance the risk of each trade. Dont change the risk parameters to suit your comfort level. If you have identified that an x pip stop loss is required to give you the edge then stick with it.
- Doing the exercise Once you have the set of variables that conform to the specifications outlined:

a) You know the cost of finding out if the edge works
b) You have a profit taking plan
c) You know the expected win:loss ratio then begin the exercise.


Trade the system exactly as you designed it. The variables must be rigid. By doing this you have duplicated a Casinos model.

If you believe in the 5 fundamental truths then the exercise will be effortless.

Once again the 5 Fundamental truths are:
1) Anything can happen
2) You can make Money without knowing what is going to happen next
3) There is a random distribution of wins and losses that define an edge
4) An edge is just the greater probability of one thing happening over an other
5) Every moment in the market is unique


This exercise could cause a conflict between your desire to think in probabilities and other conflicting forces. Handle these conflicts by monitoring yourself and using the techniques of self discipline to refocus your objective.

Keep 5 fundamental truths and 7 principles of consistency in front of you while trading.

Dont deny the presence of conflicting forces, acknowledge them and refocus on the objective.

Eventually your new beliefs will be so powerful that it will take no effort, you will be thinking in probabilities and you will be a consistently successful trader.
 
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NOMINDTR

Well-Known Member
#14
Dear All,

Trading in the Zone
by Mark Douglas

Who is Best Trader? How he thinks? How he acts? How is he able to remain consistently successful? What is Traders Mind Set and how it works?

If you like / appreciate / find something worthwhile, its work of Mark Douglas. If you dont like it or not able to understand properly or found something confusing, its error on my part / failure on my part to convey it properly.

Follows Summary of chapter 1 to 11. Trading in the Zone.

Reserve next 12 post for the chapters

Hitesh
Hitesh,

Keep them coming.

Thanks
 
N

Niks

Guest
#18
Addiction to random rewards Humans are susceptible to becoming addicted to random rewards (eg gambling addiction). Traders need to overcome this threat and put in place a mental structure that produces consistency.
One of the mistake I did often was to consider a random move as part of setup. These low quality trades wipe out both the profits and your confidence!
 

hitesh

Active Member
#19
One of the mistake I did often was to consider a random move as part of setup. These low quality trades wipe out both the profits and your confidence!
Hi Niks,

Thanks for sharing your experience.

Author says in Chapter 3

"Learn and move beyond your mistakes they are inevitable."

What I understand is, when I learn to take responsibility, when I constantly observe / review myself, when I make myself aware of my limitation / weakness, it will lead to improvement. I have to carry with me lesson learned, leaving pain behind. It may be easier said than done but there is no alternate to improvement.
 
#20
hi hitesh

many thanx for the efforts u put in summarising n presenting the entire book. it really helped me in understanding the psychology of trading.

cheers
 

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