Mini Nifty Intraday - The Redline strategy

trader.trends

Well-Known Member
#1
There are many good strategies for trading Nifty on this forum. Savantji's Pivots rocks as does Pride's ema cross overs, AW10's NR7 and Options strategies, Radha's various pivots, Dhiraj's 2652 and others I might have left out. I am adding one more to this list. Let me call it The Red Line Strategy.I don't know if other forum members have already explored it, if they have please point it out to me so that I can save the redundancy.

It requires no calculations of any kind. No Charts. No complex indicators. No special software. Clear entries and clearer exits. Completely intraday, no carry over of positions. predefined stops. The red line is the line of previous close. It is the value put out by the exchange after adjustment for the last half hour of trade not the last traded price.

Entry: Long when NF crosses the red line from below. Short when NF crosses the Red line from above. Filter: .1% rounded of to the nearest whole number.
Initial stops: .1% from Red line on the other side. The initial stops will be SAR for the complete duration of the day. As the trade moves in our favor move stops in a defined manner as detailed below.
Lot Size: 5 lots of Mini Nifty.
Exits: 2 lots at 20 points profit. Balance 3 lots stops at initial .1% maintained. Next exit 1 lot at 40 points profit. Stops for the balance 2 lots now moved to the first exit point of 20 points profit. Third exit, one lot at 60 point profit, the balance one lot SL maintained at first exit point of 20 point profit. Hold till SL is taken out for the last lot or close position at 3:27.

The SAR at all time will remain the .1% from Red line value. The core principal is be long above the red line and short below it. It is much like I am defining the Red line as my pivot point.

Intraday trading demands quick taking of profits as volatility is more in shorter time frame. No monetary targets set. Target: Do the correct trades. Profits will be defined by the market, losses will be defined by me.

Only paper trades on Mini Nifty for some time. I will not be looking at the live markets to post my result. I will be looking at the EOD figures and charts to post the figures.

Drawbacks: Since this is a paper trading mode, slippages not taken into account. Brokerage and other charges not taken into account. Whipsaws around the red line will be part of the game. There may be many days without trades as the market will open gap up/down and not cross the Red line. So not good for those who need to trade everyday.
I will post the trades everyday as far as possible. Others are welcome to post/refine the strategy. I will be trying it only on the MiniNF for now.

Anatomy of a trade
MNF: Mini Nifty Futures
Red line value = 5000 (previous adjusted close)
Filter = .1%
Long Trades: Be alert when MNF comes near the red line either from below or from above. Enter at 5005 when MNF moves from below the Red line or comes from above touches the RL and bounces up.
Entry: (100MNF)@5005
Initial Stoploss: 4995 (Filter on the other side of the Red line)
First Exit: 40%(40MNF) at 5025 Stops for 60@ at intial stop
Second Exit: 20%(20MNF) at 5045 stops for balance at 5025
Third Exit: 20%(20MNF) at 5065 stops for balance 20% at 5025 maintained
Fourth Exit: 20%(20MNF)at 3:27 or when the stops taken out.

Short Trades: Be alert when MNF comes near the redline either from below or from above. Enter at 4995 when MNF moves from above the Red line or comes from below touches the RL and falls back.
Entry: (100MNF)@4995
Initial Stoploss: 5005(Filter on the other side of the Red line)
First Exit: 40%(40MNF) at 4975. Stops for 60 at initial stop.
Second Exit: 20%(20MNF) at 4955 stops for balance at 4975
Third Exit: 20%(20MNF) at 4935 stops for balance 20% at 4975 maintained
Fourth Exit: 20%(20MNF)at 3:27 or when the stops taken out.
 
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trader.trends

Well-Known Member
#2
The paper trades from 6 October from my diary:

Date: 6 October (OLHC = 5030 5046 4918 5039)
Record Day 1.
Red line Day 1.
Red line value = 5008

NF breached (5008) and went to 4918 and again crossed 5008 to close at 5039 30 points above previous close.
Max Moves: +90(downside) +30(upside) after breaching Redline.
Short at 5003(5MNF) SL 5013
Book 2 lots at 4983.(40 pts) Book one lot at 4963.(40 pts) Book one lot at 4943.(60 pts) Stops for the last lot at 4983 taken out.(20 pts)
Profit on down leg 160 points=3200/-
NF moved above the Red line triggering buy at 5013 and SL at 5003.
Two lots booked at 5033(40 points). Market at 5035 at 3:27. Exit 3 lots at 5035(66 points). Total on up leg: 106 ponts.
Total for the day: Two trades: 266 points, Rs. 5320/-

Date: 7 October (OLHC = 5070 5080 4964 4974)
Record day 2.
Red line Day 2.
Red line value = 5039

NF breached 5039 @ 12:16 and went to 4982 and recovered but could not cross red line again just touched it and went down again to close at 4974 after touching a low of 4964.
Max moves: downside 75 upside nil after breach of Red line.

Trade:
Short at 5034(5MNF) cover 2 lots at 5014(40 pts), 1 lot at 4984(40 pts), 2 lot at 5014(40 pts), stops taken out
Total pts for the day: 120 pts, Rs. 2400/-

Cumulative
Trade days: 2 Red line days: 2 points: 386, Profit: 7720/-

Date: 8 October (OLHC = 4999 5052 4972 5001)
Red line value = 4974

NF opened above the red line and traded the whole day above it. It breached the red line once in a spike and went to 4972 just two points below Red line thus not triggering the shorts at 4969.
Trade:
No trades triggered
Cumulative
Trade days: 3 red line days: 2 Points: 386 profits: 7720/-

Date: 9 October (OLHC = 5020 5027 4923 4931)
Red line value = 5001

NF opened higher and breached the Redline@10:04 and ended at 4931 without ever crossing the Red line again.
Trade: Short 5MNF @ 4996 book 2 lots @4976(40 ps), 1 lot at 4956(40 pts), 1 lot at 4936(60 pts) and the last lot at 4936.(60 pts)
Total pts for the day: 200 pts, Rs. 4000/-
Cumulative
Trade Days: 4 Red line Days: 3 Points: 586 Profits: 11720/-

Date: 12 October (OLHC = 4942 5075 4937 5059)
Red line value = 4931
NF opened above the Red line and traded all day above the Red line
Trades: No trade Day
Cumulative: Record Days: 5 Red line days: 3, Points: 586, Profits: 11720/-

Date: 14 October (OLHC = 5087 5129 5087 5114)
Red line value = 5059
NF opened above Red line and traded all day above the red line.
Trades: No trade day
Cumulative: Record days: 6 Red line Days: 3 Points: 586 Profits: 11720/-

Date: 15 October (OLHC = 5144 5144 5067 5109)
Red line value = 5114
NF opened higher and breached the Red line @ 10:23 it hit a low of 5068@ 13:33 and then bounced back to a high of 5120 before closing at 5112. Please note that the close in the narration and the adjusted close taking the last half hour volatility may be different on some days.

Trades: Short at 5109 (5MNF) cover 2 lots at 5089 (40 pts), 1 lot at 5069(40 pts), balance 2 lots stopped at 5089(40 pts) Total points: 120 Profits: 2400/-
Cumulative: Record days: 7 Red line days: 4 Trades: 5, Points: 706 Profits: 14120/-

Date: 16 October (OLHC = 5144 5144 5067 5143)
Red line value = 5109

Nf opened just at the Red line and went down. It again crossed the Red line from beneath and never came below the Red line again.

Trades: No trade possible on the down leg. On the up leg, Bought 5MNF at 5014 sold 2 lots at 5034(40 pts). The day's high remained at 5144. It was at 5143 at 3:27(87 pts) Total 127 pts Profits: 2540/-
Cumulative: Record days: 8 red line days: 5 Trades: 6 Points: 833 Profits: 16660/-

Date: 17 October
Red line value 5143
NF opened flat and went down and stayed below Red line for the complete time of special trading.
Trades: No trade day
Cumulative: Cumulative: Record days: 8 red line days: 5 Trades: 6 Points: 833 Profits: 16660/-

Please note that since I have posted trades since 6 October in one shot, I could have committed errors in postings. They will be rectified if pointed out. In the OLHC figures mentioned in front of each day, the closing figures may not match with the closing figures mentioned in the narration due to adjustments by exchange in the final closing figures. These are not real trades but paper trades hence follow the strategy after due diligence.
 
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rkkarnani

Well-Known Member
#3
I had at one time tested a similar strategy. You have added value to it by exiting in stages. All I was doing was exting half at x% and moving the stop to cost!! It wasnt much attractive. Your method seems to be scoring much much better!!! Thanks for the initiation!!!
 

rkkarnani

Well-Known Member
#5
Levels it seems you have given for Normal Nifty Futures and Not Mini!!!
I had back tested on Nifty Futures only. Trying to mpost a chart of Oct. in Meta Stock. Please share how do we handle the Gaps at opening : The price opens much beyond the previous close either High or Low!!!! As was the case on 1st September.
 

kvram

Active Member
#6
dear trader trends is the red line of 20 sma and 5 min candle of yahoo nifty chart or at what level red line and crossing candle closing above or below ma line, as i cudnt get you. Thanks in advance .
 

AW10

Well-Known Member
#9
Seems interesting strategy to me.. I like the exits mgmt in this..
Trader.trends, if I can make 2 suggestions then here they are
1) On your first post, if you can highlight/ color the definition of RED LINE, it will improve the readabilty.
2) On second post, for each trading day, If you can mention the RED LINE value.. (i.e value of prev days close).. then understanding the description may become easy.

Chk out if my suggestions makes sense and accordingly take action.
I will be following this thread to see the expectancy over a period of time. Outcome will reinforce my belief that exits can make the difference in outcome.. even for one of the simplest entry with no fancy indicators/criteria.

Don't know if you are logging all trades in excel sheet of your own or not.. else plz chk out the backtesting sheet that I have provided in NR7 thread.. in 4th/5th post there.

All the best and happy trading.
 

rkkarnani

Well-Known Member
#10
Hi Trader.Trends,
One needs to be careful in analysing the result. I was trying to have a look at the trades posted by you.
Just recheck 7th October trades. I am trying to post a chart in Metastock. Our SL gets hit after we have booked 2 lots at 20 points and 1 lot at 40 points. The SL after booking the 40 points profit is at our first target of 20 points which get hit before further targets are attained. Moreover the 60 points target was achieved in the last 5 minutes of trade.



The chart has some errors due to taking wrong levels for entry SL level)
 
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