Re: Elliottwavecount for SENSEX
Hi ,
Here is an elliott wave longterm count from one of elliottician of the
elliottwave.com . The only difference b/w this count and the longterm
count posted by me on this forum is that of labeling of wave 3. Tom
Denhem is showing a Large wave finishing at 1990-91 Top. while wave
wave 4 at 2001 bottom. I disagree with his lableing of wave 3 because
this puts his wave 2 and wave 4 out of proportion by a wide margin and
do not fit in the wave proportionality or right look for the wave analyst.
Look at his wave 2 and large wave 4 . His wave 2 is so small and lasts
for few months while his wave four is too large and lasts for about 10
years. This is unusual and not acceptable for the waves of same degree
So the correct wave 3 position is the high of 2000. By labeling this wave
at 2000 high a near wave symmetry is found and this puts wavecount
much more precisely. Please donot confuse with Tom Denhem's wave
lables 1,2,3,4 and my wave lables I,II,III,IV. He has put lables just to
show them and also talks of very large waves which are of cycle
degree.
He is talking about sensex in large fifth wave and after
completion of which sensex should fall to 4600 to 2600 levels. His contention is correct because after completion of five primary waves of this large cycle
fifth wave market should drop to the area of previous large fourth cycle degree wave. So his large fourth wave area is 4600- 2600 while my fourth
wave area is 6150- 2600. 4600 is his wave 3 top while my top occured at
6150. That dose not mean that we are going to fall to these levels soon
on the completion of this on going rally. This will happen when we complete
five primary waves of this complete bullmarket which should last for 10-15
years or more. Remember we are in the first primary wave of this cycle wave
five. And we have four more primary waves to go. We will ofcourse correct
in primary wave two but the maximum area of corection will be 6000 and
prefferably around 8000 when we complete this on going first primary wave.
Ps. Thanks oldmirage for kind words.
Regards
http://www.elliottwave.com/subscribers/
vinay