Profit Target Determination

#1
Hi All,
I started a couple months back with Nifty futures. Went up by 30k but April was a shitty month. Adjusted strategy and at breakeven now.
I find it hard to place a profit target. I've tried using ATR, opening volume, first hour volume as an indicator but it seems i still miss out ~40 points on some days. I'm realistic and am ok with leaving ~20 pts on the table but leaving more than 40 hurts.
If someone has any ideas on the same, will be good to know. I guess essentially what i'm looking for is how to determine trend strength. Personally not a big fan of technical indicators as i believe they give more false positives. Any ideas on how to read volume more correctly could help.
 

healthraj

Well-Known Member
#2
Hi All,
I started a couple months back with Nifty futures. Went up by 30k but April was a shitty month. Adjusted strategy and at breakeven now.
I find it hard to place a profit target. I've tried using ATR, opening volume, first hour volume as an indicator but it seems i still miss out ~40 points on some days. I'm realistic and am ok with leaving ~20 pts on the table but leaving more than 40 hurts.
If someone has any ideas on the same, will be good to know. I guess essentially what i'm looking for is how to determine trend strength. Personally not a big fan of technical indicators as i believe they give more false positives. Any ideas on how to read volume more correctly could help.
Hi,

Yes the Risk Reward Ratio works on trending markets. So sometimes instead of taking profits on say 20 points we end up on the loosing side.

Neverthless it is always better to set StopLoss target. But for profit it is better to flow with the market. I am also new to the market. I have recently started using the CCI indicator. I have also started my own thread.

http://www.traderji.com/trading-diary/69299-raj-trading-diary.html

All the best

Regards,
Raj